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Red74
191832.8
366732.6
765117.8
Blue65
105824.7
102422.1
788513.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93654060801001207465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#14
32.80.9
35.534.6
Auto5.3
Teleop22.9
End4.6
red by 8.1
1058
#55
24.70.4
25.124.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End7.1
Second
3667
#17
32.60.9
33.532.6
Auto4.5
Teleop18.5
End9.6
red by 10.4
1024
#29
22.10.4
22.622.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Third
7651
#42
17.80.9
18.817.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End4.2
red by 4.3
7885
#24
13.50.4
14.013.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
39%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned