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Red74
121829.8
640117.8
226517.7
Blue64
250225.2
77119.2
448126.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667740601007464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#19
29.80.6
29.229.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 3.2
4481
#23
26.60.6
27.627.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End7.8
Second
6401
#37
17.80.6
15.716.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End5.3
blue by 7.5
2502
#47
25.20.6
25.825.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End8.5
Third
2265
#59
17.70.6
17.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 1.4
771
#51
19.20.6
19.318.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned