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Red57
283020.3
105824.7
36527.5
Blue83
77119.2
370738.9
19029.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798702040601001201401605783

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#39
27.51.2
28.026.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.3
End7.5
blue by 11.4
38.90.1
33.934.0
Auto3.9
Teleop25.4
End9.7
Second
1058
#55
24.71.2
26.325.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.9
End7.1
blue by 4.4
190
#33
29.10.1
28.929.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
Third
2830
#58
20.31.2
20.919.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End3.6
red by 1.1
771
#51
19.20.1
19.119.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned