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Red103
314625.8
121829.8
354231.8
Blue58
771910.6
746214.9
44923.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825220406010012010358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.7
28.530.2
Auto4.2
Teleop21.7
End6.0
red by 8.7
449
#66
23.20.6
27.127.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
1218
#19
29.81.7
26.628.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 14.9
7462
#53
14.90.6
11.712.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End4.4
Third
3146
#40
25.81.7
22.724.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End6.1
red by 15.2
7719
#60
10.60.6
10.310.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned