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Red38
462212.3
723110.9
8626.6
Blue65
215224.1
238325.0
685014.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4951204060803865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
26.60.7
22.221.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 1.6
25.00.4
22.022.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End9.3
Second
4622
#40
12.30.9
11.710.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.7
blue by 11.8
24.10.5
14.615.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End8.3
Third
7231
#50
10.90.9
12.411.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 3.5
6850
#29
14.30.5
12.112.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed59%HAB Docking oddsEarned