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Red30
584212.9
393215.7
362713.5
Blue41
17923.0
555711.3
514512.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4246102030506070803041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#16
15.71.4
14.713.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End7.8
blue by 7.3
179
#3
23.00.3
19.219.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End6.0
Second
3627
#20
13.51.4
8.57.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End6.1
red by 1.0
5145
#55
12.50.3
12.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.0
Third
5842
#42
12.91.4
16.815.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.8
red by 1.5
5557
#43
11.30.3
11.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed