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Red17
750016.1
447110.9
52838.4
Blue33
702615.8
71939.8
647314.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33360102040506070801733

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.6
10.28.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End5.4
red by 0.3
7026
#33
15.80.1
12.512.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Second
4471
#62
10.91.6
12.310.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 3.7
14.60.1
10.510.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Third
5283
#57
8.41.6
8.97.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End3.6
blue by 1.4
7193
#26
9.80.1
10.810.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed