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Red15
155710.5
618411.4
8014.9
Blue23
393215.7
723110.9
279711.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3137010205060701523

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6184
#27
11.42.0
9.87.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End4.5
blue by 4.3
3932
#16
15.71.4
13.211.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End7.8
Second
1557
#32
10.52.0
12.410.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End2.7
blue by 1.0
2797
#59
11.51.4
10.79.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Third
801
#64
4.92.0
7.55.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 5.9
7231
#50
10.91.4
11.510.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed