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Red27
164913.7
743112.1
67437.1
Blue44
406515.1
2115.9
190219.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324801020406070802744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#54
13.70.7
10.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 5.7
1902
#30
19.40.3
16.916.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
7431
#34
12.10.7
9.58.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.1
blue by 3.8
21
#51
15.90.3
16.416.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.3
Third
6743
#63
7.10.7
9.79.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End-0.6
blue by 8.0
4065
#12
15.10.5
12.011.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed