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Red50
547221.8
555711.3
456213.3
Blue24
618411.4
702615.8
7914.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42422530354045505024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#17
21.80.9
18.018.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.8
End5.3
red by 6.0
7026
#33
15.81.8
14.212.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Second
4562
#21
13.31.2
10.711.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.1
blue by 1.2
79
#61
14.51.8
14.212.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End2.2
Third
5557
#43
11.31.2
10.711.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.3
End3.5
blue by 0.1
6184
#27
11.41.8
11.59.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed