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Red12
8014.9
190219.4
23322.4
Blue19
41795.5
362713.5
527612.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5237102030406070801219

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#14
22.44.2
15.511.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End6.6
red by 8.9
3627
#20
13.53.2
11.78.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End6.1
Second
1902
#30
19.43.3
20.216.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 7.0
5276
#36
12.33.2
12.18.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Third
801
#64
4.94.2
13.79.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 0.6
4179
#39
5.53.2
10.97.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed