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Red41
514512.5
174418.9
77749.1
Blue44
316411.6
672212.3
462212.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43331020506070804144

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1744
#11
18.90.0
19.919.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End5.4
red by 6.6
6722
#24
12.31.3
10.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Second
5145
#55
12.50.0
13.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.0
red by 0.2
4622
#40
12.31.3
10.712.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.7
Third
7774
#49
9.10.0
7.67.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End3.4
blue by 2.5
3164
#56
11.61.3
10.011.4
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned6%HAB Docking oddsMissed