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Red42
190219.4
497214.7
52838.4
Blue78
8626.6
456213.3
74420.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256203050607080904278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#30
19.40.2
18.418.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 7.3
86
#7
26.61.6
24.225.8
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Second
4972
#25
14.70.3
13.613.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.8
blue by 5.8
744
#6
20.42.7
17.620.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End7.4
Third
5283
#57
8.40.3
7.57.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.5
End3.6
blue by 4.9
4562
#21
13.32.6
11.614.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsEarned