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Red34
47077.3
32429.5
106516.9
Blue79
587219.7
74423.5
316413.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38562060803479

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1065
#40
16.90.3
17.817.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End3.1
blue by 6.6
744
#5
23.50.0
23.723.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End9.7
Second
3242
#45
9.50.3
10.19.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 10.2
5872
#25
19.70.1
16.616.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End3.5
Third
4707
#64
7.30.5
7.67.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 5.7
3164
#20
13.00.0
12.412.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned