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Red32
702616.9
406516.6
519610.7
Blue60
547221.3
757517.2
362717.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47540204060801003260

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7026
#18
16.90.9
17.716.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End4.8
blue by 4.4
21.30.6
21.221.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
Second
4065
#58
16.60.9
15.714.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
blue by 0.8
3627
#21
17.40.6
15.716.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Third
5196
#15
10.71.3
11.410.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End3.6
blue by 6.5
7575
#11
17.20.9
14.415.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned