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Red51
191826.3
495617.8
485521.8
Blue48
721116.0
571412.0
518310.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8746204060801001205148

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.1
31.429.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End2.4
red by 10.4
7211
#20
16.00.3
21.521.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End5.5
Second
21.82.1
25.923.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 9.8
5714
#17
12.00.3
11.311.6
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End4.1
Third
4956
#13
17.82.1
24.822.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End3.5
red by 7.3
5183
#10
10.50.3
11.011.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed