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Red15
360314.5
600513.0
544811.4
Blue35
77945.1
610016.3
609716.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4448102030406070801535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#12
14.51.8
15.713.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 1.9
16.30.7
18.718.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End8.2
Second
6005
#15
13.01.8
13.411.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
blue by 3.0
16.10.7
17.817.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End5.8
Third
5448
#11
11.41.8
12.911.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.2
End4.2
red by 6.3
7794
#14
5.10.7
9.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed63%HAB Docking oddsEarned