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Red64
458727.5
787212.5
246830.6
Blue50
147721.9
557223.9
541714.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71582040801006450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
31.231.0
Auto3.4
Teleop20.6
End6.5
red by 6.7
5572
#36
23.90.5
20.620.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Second
27.50.2
24.023.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End7.7
red by 5.6
1477
#22
21.90.5
20.419.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.2
End8.1
Third
7872
#62
12.50.2
11.811.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 2.4
5417
#64
14.90.5
13.813.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned