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Red71
11832.9
367919.9
690121.8
Blue67
384730.0
461023.6
586615.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807340601001207167

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
32.90.3
35.034.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End9.3
red by 2.9
3847
#16
30.00.3
29.629.3
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End3.9
Second
6901
#38
21.80.3
19.919.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 1.8
4610
#32
23.60.3
22.422.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.5
Third
3679
#52
19.90.3
21.120.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 4.7
5866
#61
15.30.3
16.816.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
42%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed