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Red65
420620.0
261318.9
524222.7
Blue70
505218.1
348119.9
557223.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55572040801006570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#43
22.70.9
19.820.6
Auto3.5
Teleop15.8
End3.5
blue by 1.2
5572
#36
23.90.9
20.921.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Second
4206
#34
20.00.9
17.117.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 0.1
3481
#58
19.90.9
18.819.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End2.2
Third
2613
#33
18.90.9
15.416.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End7.0
red by 0.9
5052
#24
18.10.9
14.615.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed