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Red54
383413.2
384730.0
437818.5
Blue53
697417.5
749416.1
614418.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801005453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#16
30.00.2
28.228.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End3.9
red by 11.0
6144
#37
18.90.1
18.018.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End10.3
Second
4378
#35
18.50.2
16.516.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
red by 1.0
6974
#59
17.50.1
17.517.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.7
End2.5
Third
3834
#42
13.20.2
11.811.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.3
blue by 2.8
7494
#51
16.10.1
16.216.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned