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Red64
586615.3
373519.3
589224.9
Blue70
749221.1
62428.6
367622.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627130405080901001106470

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#27
24.90.4
24.224.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End6.4
blue by 3.7
624
#10
28.60.2
25.625.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.1
End6.6
Second
3735
#57
19.30.4
18.018.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 2.8
3676
#14
22.10.2
22.622.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
Third
5866
#61
15.30.4
16.116.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.8
blue by 5.9
7492
#17
21.10.2
18.618.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed52%HAB Docking oddsEarned