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Red91
300527.8
541428.9
680025.2
Blue82
367919.9
41819.1
331035.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887740601001209182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.5
31.431.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End7.5
blue by 6.1
35.00.6
33.834.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End7.5
Second
3005
#18
27.80.5
27.227.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
red by 7.8
3679
#52
19.90.6
18.519.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Third
6800
#23
25.20.5
24.825.3
Auto4.0
Teleop19.3
End1.9
red by 6.1
418
#41
19.10.6
20.821.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned33%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned55%HAB Docking oddsMissed