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Red58
541714.9
23129.2
420620.0
Blue73
762114.5
303524.1
632122.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615202040801005873

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#40
29.20.0
26.526.5
Auto5.4
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 5.0
3035
#46
24.11.6
19.420.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Second
4206
#34
20.00.0
17.917.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End3.5
blue by 2.1
6321
#13
22.01.6
17.018.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End7.4
Third
5417
#64
14.90.0
13.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 0.4
7621
#55
14.51.6
13.014.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned