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Red54
762114.5
461023.6
437818.5
Blue98
261318.9
717928.4
458727.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587230405080901005498

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#32
23.60.1
23.423.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.5
blue by 4.8
7179
#19
28.41.3
26.627.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.3
Second
4378
#35
18.50.1
17.016.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 9.0
27.51.3
24.225.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End7.7
Third
7621
#55
14.50.1
14.514.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End4.0
blue by 4.4
2613
#33
18.91.3
17.118.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed60%HAB Docking oddsEarned