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Red119
637728.7
505218.1
14840.0
Blue64
303524.1
300527.8
324019.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8572405060809010011011964

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
40.01.3
36.637.9
Auto4.5
Teleop26.2
End9.2
red by 12.2
3005
#18
27.80.3
28.228.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
6377
#20
28.71.3
26.127.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End7.4
red by 4.5
3035
#46
24.10.3
22.822.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Third
5052
#24
18.11.3
17.418.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
blue by 1.1
3240
#25
19.10.3
17.016.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed