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Red65
246830.6
41819.1
586615.3
Blue52
129620.2
288121.6
383413.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73572040801006552

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.3
32.332.0
Auto3.4
Teleop20.6
End6.5
red by 9.0
2881
#47
21.60.2
20.920.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.4
End5.5
Second
418
#41
19.10.3
19.619.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
blue by 1.1
1296
#44
20.20.2
20.520.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Third
5866
#61
15.30.3
17.016.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.8
red by 2.0
3834
#42
13.20.2
13.112.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned