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Red58
631518.1
125517.1
23129.2
Blue56
367919.9
727115.6
429519.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675830405080901001105856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#40
29.20.3
27.727.4
Auto5.4
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 9.2
3679
#52
19.90.3
19.819.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.8
End3.3
Second
6315
#39
18.10.3
18.918.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End3.1
blue by 1.1
4295
#48
19.20.3
18.818.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End5.4
Third
1255
#29
17.10.3
16.616.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End5.5
red by 1.5
7271
#63
15.60.3
16.115.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed