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Red71
749416.1
384730.0
749221.1
Blue69
787212.5
637728.7
543125.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687040506080901007169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#16
30.00.5
29.229.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End3.9
red by 1.3
6377
#20
28.70.2
27.327.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Second
7492
#17
21.10.5
19.019.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End7.0
blue by 4.5
5431
#15
25.60.2
26.126.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End7.3
Third
7494
#51
16.10.5
16.016.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End3.6
red by 3.5
7872
#62
12.50.2
12.712.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsEarned