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Red59
461023.6
708816.4
271421.7
Blue67
181721.6
215819.3
541428.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65782040601001205967

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#32
23.60.2
23.323.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.5
blue by 5.4
28.90.7
31.330.6
Auto4.1
Teleop17.4
End7.5
Second
2714
#54
21.70.2
23.723.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End4.3
red by 0.2
21.60.7
23.422.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End8.3
Third
7088
#30
16.40.2
14.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End5.7
blue by 2.9
2158
#26
19.30.7
19.518.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned