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Red42
494121.2
50748.9
584016.1
Blue18
58489.6
731514.5
692513.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36351020304050604218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.9
17.118.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 6.7
14.51.6
13.712.0
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Second
16.10.9
9.410.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.6
red by 3.0
6925
#20
13.11.6
11.610.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Third
5074
#16
8.90.9
7.58.4
Auto1.2
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 0.7
5848
#27DQ
9.61.6
7.55.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed