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Red45
67509.3
332916.4
691919.7
Blue18
63256.4
424010.8
617712.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47311020405060704518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.1
20.320.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End7.2
red by 7.6
6177
#28
12.20.8
5.64.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.5
Second
3329
#11
16.40.1
16.115.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
red by 5.6
4240
#18
10.80.8
10.810.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Third
6750
#15
9.30.1
7.77.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 3.0
6325
#24
6.41.3
13.211.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
43%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed