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Red40
41937.5
563215.3
100219.8
Blue56
83223.4
682919.2
731514.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39460102030506070804056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#12
19.80.2
14.114.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
blue by 3.6
832
#1
23.40.9
17.618.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End9.4
Second
5632
#14
15.30.3
13.313.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End3.3
blue by 3.9
6829
#13
19.21.4
13.314.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Third
4193
#26
7.50.3
9.69.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 7.1
14.51.4
12.213.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned