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Red48
70769.0
470118.5
494121.2
Blue18
749910.4
168317.3
126113.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4741102030607080904818

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
16.817.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 3.9
1683
#19
17.31.4
17.115.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Second
18.50.2
15.716.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End3.1
red by 5.1
1261
#17
13.52.3
13.811.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Third
7076
#21
9.00.4
12.212.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 1.4
7499
#22
10.42.3
7.55.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed