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Red52
126113.5
494121.2
67509.3
Blue42
424010.8
731514.5
563215.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060805242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.5
18.019.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 5.9
5632
#14
15.30.5
14.615.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Second
1261
#17
13.51.5
12.614.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End3.1
blue by 1.1
14.50.5
12.012.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.6
Third
6750
#15
9.30.9
8.19.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 1.5
4240
#18
10.80.3
10.711.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed