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Red48
332916.4
573411.5
399817.7
Blue40
692513.1
691919.7
363519.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043203050604840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.5
16.016.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.9
blue by 2.0
19.70.1
19.519.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End7.2
Second
3329
#11
16.40.5
15.415.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 2.7
3635
#10
19.10.1
11.311.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Third
11.50.5
6.67.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.3
blue by 1.6
6925
#20
13.10.1
10.09.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned