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Red61
617712.2
563215.3
470118.5
Blue50
473011.4
749910.4
100219.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483910203060706150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.0
18.818.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 1.2
1002
#12
19.80.9
18.319.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Second
5632
#14
15.30.1
15.415.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 3.9
4730
#23
11.40.9
10.711.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
6177
#28
12.20.0
11.111.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End2.5
red by 1.8
7499
#22
10.40.9
8.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed