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Red43
494121.2
682919.2
41937.5
Blue61
573411.5
691919.7
363519.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49493540455560654361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.3
20.920.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 1.5
19.71.0
18.719.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End7.2
Second
6829
#13
19.20.3
18.318.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 0.1
3635
#10
19.11.1
17.018.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End4.0
Third
4193
#26
7.50.3
7.87.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End2.6
blue by 4.0
11.51.0
10.711.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned