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Red78
470118.1
83223.8
168325.8
Blue54
411220.7
745121.7
788315.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695230406080901007854

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.8
21.922.8
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End4.2
red by 4.2
7451
#35
21.70.3
15.816.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Second
832
#5
23.80.8
24.225.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End8.5
red by 3.1
4112
#31
20.70.3
18.418.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End3.7
Third
4701
#42
18.10.8
19.320.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
red by 2.9
7883
#18
15.20.3
15.015.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed