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Red60
445918.3
164818.1
691920.5
Blue60
533215.6
510928.0
241514.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565840506070806060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#11
20.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 7.5
28.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End7.5
Second
4459
#29
18.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
red by 2.7
5332
#26
15.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
1648
#23
18.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
red by 3.9
2415
#19
14.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned