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Red58
399819.9
474915.0
126123.7
Blue82
731519.4
494123.1
174626.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57623040507080905882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#20
23.70.2
19.319.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End5.4
blue by 2.6
1746
#12
26.21.5
20.822.3
Auto2.8
Teleop19.4
End4.1
Second
3998
#24
19.90.2
17.918.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
blue by 3.2
4941
#27
23.11.5
20.822.3
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Third
4749
#40
15.00.2
17.117.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 4.4
7315
#14
19.41.5
17.318.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed