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Red59
131123.1
751417.3
83223.8
Blue54
731519.4
634113.7
584020.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6656304050607080901005954

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#5
23.80.2
23.122.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End8.5
red by 2.9
5840
#45
20.90.1
21.621.6
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Second
1311
#10
23.10.2
20.820.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 3.7
7315
#14
19.40.1
17.317.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.3
End4.1
Third
7514
#13
17.30.2
18.418.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 3.6
6341
#21
13.70.1
14.314.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed