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Red31
788315.2
241514.2
670515.4
Blue82
747013.2
744921.3
164818.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48502030406070803182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#36
15.41.0
15.914.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 5.9
7449
#32
21.30.9
20.721.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End5.3
Second
7883
#18
15.21.0
15.314.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 2.9
1648
#23
18.10.9
14.915.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
2415
#19
14.21.0
14.113.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
red by 1.0
7470
#34
13.20.9
11.512.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed