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Red83
751417.3
177127.9
297431.0
Blue47
529316.1
749912.8
399819.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80482040601008347

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.1
29.329.5
Auto3.5
Teleop23.8
End3.6
red by 11.1
3998
#24
19.90.1
18.118.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
Second
27.90.1
29.029.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.8
End8.6
red by 11.8
5293
#43
16.10.1
14.915.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
7514
#13
17.30.1
17.117.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 4.5
7499
#39
12.80.1
12.512.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed