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Red52
742716.0
682920.2
634113.7
Blue65
470118.1
402622.3
164818.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54592040801005265

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#28
20.20.0
20.120.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.1
End3.9
blue by 2.1
22.30.6
20.421.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End8.8
Second
7427
#30
16.00.0
17.217.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.7
End4.3
blue by 2.1
1648
#23
18.10.6
15.816.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
Third
6341
#21
13.70.0
14.314.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 4.3
4701
#42
18.10.6
19.720.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned