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Red50
634113.7
670515.4
100216.7
Blue70
297431.0
749912.8
168325.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5265203040607080905070

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#37
16.70.1
19.419.5
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 14.3
31.00.6
28.529.0
Auto3.5
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
6705
#36
15.40.1
15.916.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 10.5
25.80.6
21.021.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End4.2
Third
6341
#21
13.70.1
13.613.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 0.9
7499
#39
12.80.6
12.012.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed