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Red56
470118.1
584020.9
747013.2
Blue61
110230.4
418816.8
358119.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5365203040607080905661

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5840
#45
20.90.4
20.821.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 9.5
30.40.4
25.024.6
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Second
4701
#42
18.10.4
18.519.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
blue by 1.4
3581
#17
19.50.4
15.915.5
Auto3.6
Teleop10.9
End5.0
Third
7470
#34
13.20.4
10.510.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.3
blue by 3.6
4188
#38
16.80.4
20.319.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned