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Red33
691920.5
634113.7
418816.8
Blue68
363525.2
297431.0
446815.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58753040507080901001103368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#11
20.51.5
20.819.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End7.6
blue by 10.5
31.00.4
30.229.8
Auto3.5
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
4188
#38
16.81.5
19.718.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 8.4
25.20.4
25.124.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Third
6341
#21
13.71.5
14.312.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End3.0
blue by 1.8
4468
#33
15.50.4
15.915.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed33%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed