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Red53
590016.7
788315.2
584020.9
Blue66
745121.7
445918.3
402622.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58623040507080905366

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5840
#45
20.90.2
21.621.5
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 1.3
22.30.5
21.822.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End8.8
Second
5900
#25
16.70.2
17.016.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End5.5
blue by 5.0
7451
#35
21.70.5
18.619.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End4.3
Third
7883
#18
15.20.2
16.716.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 3.2
4459
#29
18.30.5
18.619.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned