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Red43
494123.1
634020.5
470118.1
Blue51
168325.8
747013.2
241514.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70543040506080901004351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4941
#27
23.11.5
24.422.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 2.7
25.80.0
25.125.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End4.2
Second
6340
#16
20.51.5
21.219.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.8
End2.9
red by 6.3
2415
#19
14.20.0
13.213.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End3.5
Third
4701
#42
18.11.5
20.519.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.6
red by 4.8
7470
#34
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed